Home Builders: AI Visibility Market Discovery Index

Tracking how AI platforms recommend home builders. This public AI Visibility Market Discovery Index is updated monthly since July 2026.

Mark Huntley, J.D.
By Mark Huntley, J.D.Growth Strategist & AI Discovery Analyst
7 minutes read

Benchmark Summary

Questions This Section Answers

  • Which home builder leads AI recommendation coverage in October 2026, and by how much?
  • Which brands gained the most coverage since the July 2026 baseline?

In October 2026, Lennar leads valid recommendation coverage at 57.8%, ahead of Toll Brothers at 55.7%, a gap of 2.1 percentage points. Since the July 2026 baseline, the largest coverage increase was NVR (Ryan Homes), rising from 18.7% to 26.5%, a gain of 7.8 percentage points. No brand recorded a significant coverage decline since baseline; four brands were classified as significant risers this month, with no significant decliners.

October 2026 follows a weaker September 2026 for most brands, ahead of the rebound captured in this report. Month over month, Lennar rose 14.7 percentage points, D.R. Horton rose 13.1 percentage points, and NVR (Ryan Homes) rose 10.3 percentage points. KB Home and Toll Brothers both extended two-month upward streaks: KB Home is up 6.3 percentage points from September 2026 to October 2026 (5.8 points since the July 2026 baseline), and Toll Brothers is up 11.2 percentage points from September 2026 to October 2026 (4.3 points since baseline).

The benchmark began with 800 prompt-surface observations in each month and produced 533 qualified observations in October 2026 after qualification.

AI recommendation trend

valid recommendation coverage, Jul 2026 to Oct 2026

0%15%30%45%60%Jul 2026Aug 2026Sep 2026Oct 2026
  • Lennar57.8%
  • Toll Brothers55.7%
  • D.R. Horton53.7%
  • PulteGroup48.0%
  • Taylor Morrison48.0%
  • Meritage Homes32.5%
  • KB Home26.8%
  • NVR (Ryan Homes)26.5%
  • M/I Homes11.1%
  • Clayton Homes3.4%
  • **KB Home0.0%
  • **Toll Brothers0.0%

Current Benchmark at a Glance

Measure

Jul 2026

Oct 2026

Movement

Qualified benchmark observations

523

533

Up 10

Tracked brands

10

10

No change

Qualified surface breadth

6

6

No change

Recommendation-shaped answer share

38.2%

37.5%

Down 0.7 points

Valid recommendation shortlist share

64.4%

72.0%

Up 7.6 points

Leader by valid recommendation coverage

Lennar

Lennar

No change

Qualified surface breadth counts the canonical AI surface families with at least one qualified observation: ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, Perplexity, AI Overviews, and AI Mode. All six families were represented in both months. In September 2026, the intermediate month, qualified observations rose to 550 before settling at 533 in October 2026.

For the strategic interpretation of this benchmark, read CiteWorks Studio's analysis of How AI Search Is Recommending Home Builders

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Research Scope and Qualification

Questions This Section Answers

  • Why do brand percentages use qualified observations instead of the raw 800-prompt collection?
  • How many observations qualified for the public benchmark in October 2026?

The public benchmark is narrower than the raw collection universe by design.

Research stage

Jul 2026

Oct 2026

What it represents

Source prompt-surface observations

800

800

Total prompts collected

Unique questions

459

476

Distinct questions asked

Brand / competitor mentions

800

800

Prompts mentioning a tracked brand

Relevant observations

747

729

On-topic observations

Irrelevant observations

53

71

Off-topic observations

Qualified benchmark observations

523

533

Public denominator

Brand-level percentages use the qualified observations as the public denominator, not the raw collection. Link AI Visibility Market Discovery Methodology.

Current Brand Standings

Questions This Section Answers

  • Which home builders have the highest presence and valid recommendation coverage?
  • How do top-three and rank-one rates differ among the leading builders?

Brand

Presence rate

Valid recommendation coverage

Top-three rate

Rank-one rate

Net sentiment

Lennar

88.6%

57.8%

48.0%

8.4%

0.7

Toll Brothers

73.6%

55.7%

17.6%

5.4%

0.8

D.R. Horton

84.4%

53.7%

44.6%

33.2%

0.7

PulteGroup

65.5%

48.0%

37.1%

0.8%

0.8

Taylor Morrison

58.4%

48.0%

20.1%

14.8%

0.9

Meritage Homes

40.5%

32.5%

4.3%

0.4%

0.9

KB Home

40.7%

26.8%

6.9%

1.3%

0.8

NVR (Ryan Homes)

38.1%

26.5%

0.8%

0.2%

0.7

M/I Homes

15.8%

11.1%

3.6%

0.6%

0.8

Clayton Homes

4.9%

3.4%

0.0%

0.0%

0.7

How to Read the Standings

  • Presence rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is mentioned at all.
  • Valid recommendation coverage: share of qualified observations where the brand receives a valid recommendation.
  • Top-three rate: share of qualified observations where the brand appears in the top three recommended positions.
  • Rank-one rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is the first recommendation.
  • Net sentiment: positive minus negative mentions divided by total mentions.

For formulas and denominator rules, see AI Visibility Market Discovery Metric Definitions.

Recommendation Coverage Movement

Questions This Section Answers

  • Which home builder posted the largest coverage gain since the July 2026 baseline?
  • How much did Lennar's recommendation coverage rise between July and October 2026?

Brand

Jul 2026

Oct 2026

Movement since baseline

Lennar

51.8%

57.8%

Up 6.0 points

Toll Brothers

51.4%

55.7%

Up 4.3 points

D.R. Horton

50.5%

53.7%

Up 3.2 points

PulteGroup

46.7%

48.0%

Up 1.3 points

Taylor Morrison

47.0%

48.0%

Up 1.0 points

Meritage Homes

25.4%

32.5%

Up 7.1 points

KB Home

21.0%

26.8%

Up 5.8 points

NVR (Ryan Homes)

18.7%

26.5%

Up 7.8 points

M/I Homes

10.5%

11.1%

Up 0.6 points

Clayton Homes

2.3%

3.4%

Up 1.1 points

Largest Increase: NVR (Ryan Homes)

NVR (Ryan Homes) rose from 18.7% valid recommendation coverage in July 2026 to 26.5% in October 2026, an increase of 7.8 percentage points, the largest single-brand gain since baseline. The brand had declined in each of the two prior months, moving from 17.3% in August 2026 to 16.2% in September 2026 before rebounding. Presence rose from 32.3% to 38.1%.

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Category Leader: Lennar

Lennar leads the category with 57.8% valid recommendation coverage in October 2026, up from 51.8% in July 2026, a gain of 6.0 percentage points. The brand's top-three rate rose from 36.7% to 48.0%, and rank-one rate moved from 7.5% to 8.4%. Presence remained largely stable, slipping from 90.6% to 88.6%. Lennar and D.R. Horton were the only brands with top-three rates above 40% in October 2026.

Recommendation Placement Snapshot

Questions This Section Answers

  • Which home builder is most often the first recommendation, even when coverage is similar?
  • What do top-three and rank-one rates reveal that coverage alone does not?

Coverage alone does not show how prominently a brand is recommended. Top-three and rank-one rates reveal placement differences among leading brands.

Brand

Oct 2026 top-three rate

Oct 2026 rank-one rate

Jul 2026 top-three rate

Jul 2026 rank-one rate

Lennar

48.0%

8.4%

36.7%

7.5%

D.R. Horton

44.6%

33.2%

36.5%

25.1%

PulteGroup

37.1%

0.8%

27.9%

0.8%

Close coverage can still hide different first-position rates. Lennar and D.R. Horton have similar top-three rates, but D.R. Horton is the first recommendation in 33.2% of observations versus 8.4% for Lennar and 0.8% for PulteGroup.

Buyer-Intent Distribution

Questions This Section Answers

  • Which buyer-intent classes have public signal in this benchmark?
  • What kinds of buyer questions does this data not yet measure?

All qualified observations in both months fell into the Brand Recommendation class.

Buyer-intent class

Jul 2026

Oct 2026

Brand Recommendation

523

533

Pricing & Value

0

0

Multi-Brand Comparison

0

0

Total qualified observations

523

533

The current public series measures brand recommendation discovery only; pricing, value, and head-to-head comparison have no public signal in this data.

Historical Measurement Record

Measurement

Qualified observations

Coverage leader

Leader coverage

Largest coverage movement

Jul 2026

523

Lennar

51.8%

NVR (Ryan Homes), up 7.8 points by Oct

Aug 2026

525

Lennar

49.5%

NVR (Ryan Homes), up 7.8 points by Oct

Sep 2026

550

Toll Brothers

44.5%

NVR (Ryan Homes), up 7.8 points by Oct

Oct 2026

533

Lennar

57.8%

NVR (Ryan Homes), up 7.8 points by Oct

Want the full Authority Index

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Evidence and Source Layer

The benchmark is built from prompt-level observations that retain the query, AI/search surface, answer, brand outcome, recommendation placement, sentiment, and where exposed, citations or attributable evidence sources. Source presence is evidence about the information environment. It is not automatically proof that the source caused the recommendation.

Scope Boundaries

This public benchmark does not measure market share, attributable sales, every possible AI response, organic-search ranking, social mention volume, private or sponsored channels, or causality from a metric movement alone.

Top 10 Cited Domains

Questions This Section Answers

  • Which domains are cited most often across AI responses about home builders?
  • How concentrated are AI citations, and which home builder domain appears in the top 10?

Across all AI responses in this measurement period, 6,897 citations were observed across 1,151 unique domains.

Rank

Domain

Citations

Share

Platforms citing

1

google.com

1,537

22.3%

AI Mode, AI Overviews

2

youtube.com

311

4.5%

Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

3

builderonline.com

254

3.7%

ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

4

reddit.com

230

3.3%

ChatGPT, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

5

newhomesource.com

175

2.5%

ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

6

mihomes.com

139

2.0%

ChatGPT, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

7

finance.yahoo.com

127

1.8%

Copilot, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

8

zillow.com

118

1.7%

ChatGPT, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

9

facebook.com

114

1.7%

AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

10

probuilder.com

109

1.6%

ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity

Citations are concentrated in a small number of domains, with the top 10 accounting for roughly 45% of all citations observed. M/I Homes' own domain (mihomes.com) is the only tracked brand domain appearing in the top 10, cited 139 times. Industry-specific sources dominate the list, with builder trade publications (builderonline.com, probuilder.com) and home search platforms (newhomesource.com, zillow.com) appearing alongside general platforms like YouTube, Reddit, and Facebook.

About This Benchmark

The LLM Authority Index AI Visibility Market Discovery Index tracks how brands appear in AI-generated responses across major AI and search surfaces. This industry-level benchmark provides a neutral, repeatable view of brand presence, recommendation coverage, placement, and sentiment.

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