Commercial Truck Insurance: AI Market Discovery Index
Tracking how AI platforms recommend commercial truck insurance. This public AI Market Discovery Index is updated monthly since July 2026.

On this page
- 01Benchmark Summary
- 02Current Benchmark at a Glance
- 03Research Scope and Qualification
- 04Current Brand Standings
- 05How to Read the Standings
- 06Recommendation Coverage Movement
- 07Largest Increase: Biberk Business Insurance
- 08Largest Decline: biBERK
- 09Category Leader: The Hartford
- 10Additional Significant Decliners
- 11Stable Brands
- 12Recommendation Placement Snapshot
Benchmark Summary
The Hartford led the Commercial Truck Insurance benchmark in September 2026 with valid recommendation coverage of 67.0%, down from 78.5% in July 2026. Progressive Commercial held the second position at 49.2% in September 2026, a gap of 17.8 percentage points behind The Hartford.
The month showed mixed movement with several significant changes. Biberk Business Insurance recorded the largest coverage increase, appearing for the first time in September 2026 at 19.5%, up from 0.0% in July 2026. biBERK recorded the largest coverage decline, falling from 47.7% in July 2026 to 0.0% in September 2026, with responses for this insurer tracked under the Biberk Business Insurance label in the most recent month.
Across the full three-month series, The Hartford declined in each of the two months since July 2026, from 78.5% to 67.0%. Progressive Commercial also declined in each of the two months, from 61.1% to 49.2%. Several new brand labels entered the benchmark in September 2026, including Biberk Business Insurance at 19.5% and GEICO RV Insurance at 6.3%, reflecting changes in how brands were identified in the qualifying responses.
The benchmark began with 800 prompt-surface observations in each month and produced 303 qualified observations in September 2026 after qualification.
AI recommendation trend
valid recommendation coverage, Jul 2026 to Sep 2026
- The Hartford67.0%
- Progressive Commercial49.2%
- Nationwide42.6%
- Travelers35.6%
- Biberk Business Insurance19.5%
- Simply Business18.1%
- GEICO RV Insurance6.3%
- Sentry Insurance5.0%
- Great West Casualty3.3%
- CoverWallet1.0%
- biBERK0.0%
- Geico0.0%
Current Benchmark at a Glance
Measure | Jul 2026 | Sep 2026 | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|
Qualified benchmark observations | 172 | 303 | Up 131 |
Tracked brands | 10 | 10 | No change |
Qualified surface breadth | 6 | 6 | No change |
Recommendation-shaped answer share | 63.4% | 34.3% | Down 29.1 points |
Valid recommendation shortlist share | 77.9% | 63.0% | Down 14.9 points |
Leader by valid recommendation coverage | The Hartford | The Hartford | Stable |
Qualified surface breadth counts the canonical AI/search surface families with at least one qualified observation: ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, Perplexity, AI Overviews, and AI Mode. All six families were represented in each month of the series.
For the strategic interpretation of this benchmark, read CiteWorks Studio's analysis of How AI Search Is Recommending Commercial Truck Insurance
Research Scope and Qualification
The public benchmark is narrower than the raw collection universe by design. Brand-level percentages use the qualified observations as the public denominator, not the raw collection.
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Research stage | Jul 2026 | Sep 2026 | What it represents |
|---|---|---|---|
Source prompt-surface observations | 800 | 800 | Total prompts collected across AI surfaces |
Unique questions | 531 | 555 | Distinct questions after deduplication |
Brand / competitor mentions | 800 | 800 | Prompts mentioning at least one brand |
Relevant observations | 207 | 325 | On-topic for the vertical |
Irrelevant observations | 593 | 475 | Off-topic for the vertical |
Qualified benchmark observations | 172 | 303 | Public denominator after qualification |
For full details, see AI Market Discovery Methodology.
Current Brand Standings
Current-month metrics sorted by valid recommendation coverage.
Brand | Presence rate | Valid recommendation coverage | Top-three rate | Rank-one rate | Net sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Hartford | 97.0% | 67.0% | 50.5% | 30.7% | 0.8 |
Progressive Commercial | 75.2% | 49.2% | 24.4% | 13.5% | 0.7 |
Nationwide | 60.7% | 42.6% | 18.5% | 5.6% | 0.8 |
Travelers | 51.8% | 35.6% | 16.8% | 3.3% | 0.8 |
Biberk Business Insurance | 23.8% | 19.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.9 |
Simply Business | 29.4% | 18.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.6 |
GEICO RV Insurance | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.8 |
Sentry Insurance | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.8 |
Great West Casualty | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9 |
CoverWallet | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.5 |
How to Read the Standings
- Presence rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is mentioned at all.
- Valid recommendation coverage: share of qualified observations where the brand is named in a valid recommendation context.
- Top-three rate: share of qualified observations where the brand appears in the top three recommended positions.
- Rank-one rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is the first recommendation.
- Net sentiment: positive minus negative mention tone, scaled to a 0 to 1 range.
For formulas and denominator rules, see AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions.
Recommendation Coverage Movement
Brand | Jul 2026 | Sep 2026 | Movement since baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
The Hartford | 78.5% | 67.0% | Down 11.5 points |
Progressive Commercial | 61.1% | 49.2% | Down 11.9 points |
Nationwide | 45.9% | 42.6% | Down 3.3 points |
Travelers | 41.3% | 35.6% | Down 5.7 points |
Biberk Business Insurance | 0.0% | 19.5% | Up 19.5 points |
Simply Business | 17.4% | 18.1% | Up 0.7 points |
GEICO RV Insurance | 0.0% | 6.3% | Up 6.3 points |
Sentry Insurance | 11.6% | 5.0% | Down 6.6 points |
Great West Casualty | 5.8% | 3.3% | Down 2.5 points |
CoverWallet | 2.9% | 1.0% | Down 1.9 points |
The July 2026 labels biBERK and Geico do not appear in the September 2026 brand roster. Their coverage series ended at 47.7% and 37.8% respectively in July 2026, and the September 2026 responses identified these brands under the Biberk Business Insurance and GEICO RV Insurance labels.
Largest Increase: Biberk Business Insurance
Biberk Business Insurance appeared in the benchmark for the first time in September 2026 with valid recommendation coverage of 19.5%, up from 0.0% in July 2026, a move beyond normal month-to-month variation. Presence reached 23.8% in September 2026. Top-three placement was 4.0%, and rank-one placement was 0.0%.
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Largest Decline: biBERK
biBERK moved from 47.7% valid recommendation coverage in July 2026 to 0.0% in September 2026, a move beyond normal month-to-month variation. The September 2026 responses identified this insurer under the Biberk Business Insurance label, which recorded 19.5% coverage, 23.8% presence, and 4.0% top-three placement in the current month.
Category Leader: The Hartford
The Hartford remained the category leader with 67.0% valid recommendation coverage in September 2026, down from 78.5% in July 2026, a decline beyond normal month-to-month variation. Presence rose from 91.3% to 97.0% over the same period. Presence rose even as coverage declined, suggesting the brand is widely named but recommended less consistently. Top-three placement moved from 59.3% to 50.5%, while rank-one placement rose from 27.9% to 30.7%.
Additional Significant Decliners
Geico fell from 37.8% valid recommendation coverage in July 2026 to 0.0% in September 2026, a decline beyond normal month-to-month variation, declining in each of the two months since baseline. The September 2026 responses identified this insurer under the GEICO RV Insurance label, which recorded 6.3% coverage.
Progressive Commercial's recommendation losses outpaced its presence decline, with top-three placement falling from 43.0% to 24.4% while presence held steady at 75.2%. Rank-one placement declined from 22.7% to 13.5%.
Sentry Insurance moved from 11.6% valid recommendation coverage in July 2026 to 5.0% in September 2026, beyond normal variation. Presence declined from 13.4% to 5.9% over the same period.
Stable Brands
The remaining brands moved within normal month-to-month variation across the series. Nationwide declined 3.3 points from 45.9% in July 2026 to 42.6% in September 2026. Travelers declined 5.7 points from 41.3% to 35.6%, including a sharp single-month drop of 13.0 points from August to September 2026. Simply Business held steady at 18.1% in September 2026, down from 20.5% in August 2026. Great West Casualty moved from 5.8% to 3.3%, and CoverWallet from 2.9% to 1.0% across the series.
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The paid deep-dive adds competitor threat profiles, the gap matrix, citation failure map, platform-by-platform recovery roadmap, and client-specific economic modeling.
Recommendation Placement Snapshot
Coverage alone does not show how prominently a brand is recommended. Placement rates reveal how often a brand appears at the top of the recommendation list. The leading brands in September 2026 show different first-position patterns.
Brand | Sep 2026 top-three rate | Sep 2026 rank-one rate | Jul 2026 top-three rate | Jul 2026 rank-one rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
The Hartford | 50.5% | 30.7% | 59.3% | 27.9% |
Progressive Commercial | 24.4% | 13.5% | 43.0% | 22.7% |
Nationwide | 18.5% | 5.6% | 17.4% | 2.3% |
Close coverage can still hide very different first-position strength: The Hartford's 30.7% rank-one rate was more than double Progressive Commercial's 13.5%, despite similar presence levels. Biberk Business Insurance reached 19.5% coverage but was ranked first in 0.0% of observations, while GEICO RV Insurance at 6.3% coverage was ranked first in 0.3% of observations.
Buyer-Intent Distribution
All 303 qualified observations in September 2026, all 253 in August 2026, and all 172 in July 2026 fell into the brand recommendation class, where the AI response names or recommends one or more specific brands.
Buyer-intent class | Jul 2026 | Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Brand Recommendation | 172 | 303 |
Pricing & Value | 0 | 0 |
Multi-Brand Comparison | 0 | 0 |
Total qualified observations | 172 | 303 |
The current public series measures brand-recommendation discovery and does not yet contain qualified observations in the pricing and value or multi-brand comparison classes.
Historical Measurement Record
Measurement | Qualified observations | Coverage leader | Leader coverage | Largest coverage movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jul 2026 (Baseline) | 172 | The Hartford | 78.5% | The Hartford down 5.8 points to Aug |
Aug 2026 | 253 | The Hartford | 72.7% | Progressive Commercial down 10.5 points |
Sep 2026 | 303 | The Hartford | 67.0% | Biberk Business Insurance up 19.5 points |
Evidence and Source Layer
The benchmark is built from prompt-level observations that retain the query, AI/search surface, answer, brand outcome, recommendation placement, sentiment, and, where exposed, citations or attributable evidence sources. Source presence is evidence about the information environment. It is not automatically proof that the source caused the recommendation.
Scope Boundaries
This public benchmark does not measure:
- Market share or sales attribution
- Every possible AI response a system could produce
- Organic-search ranking positions
- Social media mention volume
- Private or sponsored distribution channels
- Causality from a metric movement alone
About This Benchmark
The LLM Authority Index AI Market Discovery Index is a neutral, repeatable monthly measurement of how AI and search surfaces present brands across defined verticals. It tracks presence, recommendation coverage, placement, and sentiment from qualified prompt-level observations.
- AI Market Discovery Methodology
- AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions
- AI Market Discovery Research Standards
- Modeled AI Authority Value
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The public industry benchmark shows category-level standings. A company-level Authority Index can go deeper than this public benchmark, which cannot identify the prompts, competitors, or sources driving each brand's result.
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