VPN Services: AI Market Discovery Index
Tracking how AI platforms recommend vpn services. This public AI Market Discovery Index is updated monthly since July 2026.

On this page
- 01Benchmark Summary
- 02Current Benchmark at a Glance
- 03Research Scope and Qualification
- 04Current Brand Standings
- 05How to Read the Standings
- 06Recommendation Coverage Movement
- 07Category Leader: Proton VPN
- 08Recommendation Placement Snapshot
- 09Buyer-Intent Distribution
- 10Historical Measurement Record
- 11Evidence and Source Layer
- 12Scope Boundaries
Benchmark Summary
Proton VPN led the VPN Services benchmark in August 2026 with a valid recommendation coverage of 80.7%, ahead of NordVPN at 77.1% by 3.6 percentage points. The month showed no significant movement across the category, with all ten tracked brands remaining within normal month-to-month variation.
Windscribe recorded the largest coverage increase, rising to 27.6% in August 2026 from 25.9% in July 2026. ExpressVPN saw the largest decline, falling to 67.4% in August 2026 from 71.0% in July 2026. Both moves fall within normal variation for this benchmark.
The benchmark began with 800 prompt-surface observations in each month and produced 707 qualified observations in July 2026 and 709 in August 2026 after qualification.
AI recommendation trend
valid recommendation coverage, Jul 2026 to Aug 2026
- Proton VPN-3.2%Jul 202683.9%Aug 202680.7%
- NordVPN-3.0%Jul 202680.1%Aug 202677.1%
- Surfshark-3.0%Jul 202677.1%Aug 202674.1%
- ExpressVPN-3.6%Jul 202671.0%Aug 202667.4%
- Private Internet Access-0.1%Jul 202629.6%Aug 202629.5%
- Windscribe+1.7%Jul 202625.9%Aug 202627.6%
- Mullvad VPN-3.4%Jul 202629.1%Aug 202625.7%
- CyberGhost VPN-0.3%Jul 202616.7%Aug 202616.4%
- TunnelBear-1.2%Jul 202613.6%Aug 202612.4%
- IPVanish-1.8%Jul 20269.0%Aug 20267.2%
Current Benchmark at a Glance
Measure | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|
Qualified benchmark observations | 707 | 709 | Up 2 |
Tracked brands | 10 | 10 | No change |
Qualified surface breadth | 6 | 6 | No change |
Recommendation-shaped answer share | 51.9% | 50.6% | Down 1.3 points |
Valid recommendation shortlist share | 84.3% | 81.5% | Down 2.8 points |
Leader by valid recommendation coverage | Proton VPN (83.9%) | Proton VPN (80.7%) | Down 3.2 points |
Qualified surface breadth counts the canonical AI surface families with at least one qualified observation: ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, Perplexity, AI Overviews, and AI Mode. The benchmark captured all six families in both months.
For the strategic interpretation of this benchmark, read CiteWorks Studio's analysis of How AI Search Is Recommending VPN Services
Research Scope and Qualification
The public benchmark is narrower than the raw collection universe by design. The funnel below shows how observations were qualified.
Research stage | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 | What it represents |
|---|---|---|---|
Source prompt-surface observations | 800 | 800 | Total prompts collected across surfaces |
Unique questions | 534 | 574 | Distinct questions asked |
Brand / competitor mentions | 800 | 800 | Prompts mentioning a brand or competitor |
Relevant observations | 798 | 800 | On-topic for the category |
Irrelevant observations | 2 | 0 | Off-topic or unusable |
Qualified benchmark observations | 707 | 709 | Public denominator |
Brand-level percentages use the qualified observations as the public denominator, not the raw collection. See AI Market Discovery Methodology for the full qualification process.
Current Brand Standings
This table is the primary current-month benchmark view, sorted by valid recommendation coverage.
Brand | Presence rate | Valid recommendation coverage | Top-three rate | Rank-one rate | Net sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Proton VPN | 95.8% | 80.7% | 45.4% | 14.8% | 0.87 |
NordVPN | 99.2% | 77.1% | 62.6% | 44.1% | 0.81 |
Surfshark | 94.1% | 74.1% | 53.5% | 6.1% | 0.82 |
ExpressVPN | 90.0% | 67.4% | 33.0% | 7.8% | 0.78 |
Private Internet Access | 38.5% | 29.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.79 |
Windscribe | 36.5% | 27.6% | 10.4% | 0.4% | 0.78 |
Mullvad VPN | 29.6% | 25.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.90 |
CyberGhost VPN | 21.6% | 16.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.76 |
TunnelBear | 16.5% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.74 |
IPVanish | 11.1% | 7.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.63 |
Want the full Authority Index
The paid deep-dive adds competitor threat profiles, the gap matrix, citation failure map, platform-by-platform recovery roadmap, and client-specific economic modeling.
How to Read the Standings
- Presence rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is mentioned in any form.
- Valid recommendation coverage: share of qualified observations where the brand appears in a recommendation context, the benchmark's primary metric.
- Top-three rate: share of qualified observations where the brand appears among the top three recommended options.
- Rank-one rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is the first recommendation.
- Net sentiment: positive minus negative mentions divided by total mentions, scored from -1 to 1.
For formulas and denominator rules, see AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions.
Recommendation Coverage Movement
Brand | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 | Movement since baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
CyberGhost VPN | 16.7% | 16.4% | Down 0.3 points |
ExpressVPN | 71.0% | 67.4% | Down 3.6 points |
IPVanish | 9.0% | 7.2% | Down 1.8 points |
Mullvad VPN | 29.1% | 25.7% | Down 3.4 points |
NordVPN | 80.1% | 77.1% | Down 3.0 points |
Private Internet Access | 29.6% | 29.5% | Down 0.1 points |
Proton VPN | 83.9% | 80.7% | Down 3.2 points |
Surfshark | 77.1% | 74.1% | Down 3.0 points |
TunnelBear | 13.6% | 12.4% | Down 1.2 points |
Windscribe | 25.9% | 27.6% | Up 1.7 points |
August 2026 was a quiet month for the VPN Services benchmark. No brand moved beyond normal month-to-month variation, and the category leader, Proton VPN, remained stable. Nine of ten tracked brands saw small declines in valid recommendation coverage, while Windscribe was the sole riser. None of these movements established a trend.
Category Leader: Proton VPN
Proton VPN led the category with 80.7% valid recommendation coverage in August 2026, down from 83.9% in July 2026. Its presence rate rose slightly to 95.8% in August 2026 from 95.3% in July 2026, while its top-three rate was 45.4% and rank-one rate was 14.8% in August 2026. Proton VPN also held the highest net sentiment among the leaders at 0.87 in August 2026, down from 0.90 in July 2026.
Recommendation Placement Snapshot
Coverage alone does not show how prominently a brand is recommended. The leading brands show distinct placement patterns.
Brand | Aug 2026 top-three rate | Aug 2026 rank-one rate | Jul 2026 top-three rate | Jul 2026 rank-one rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Proton VPN | 45.4% | 14.8% | 46.4% | 15.1% |
NordVPN | 62.6% | 44.1% | 63.8% | 47.2% |
Surfshark | 53.5% | 6.1% | 55.5% | 6.5% |
Proton VPN held a higher rank-one rate than Surfshark (14.8% versus 6.1% in August 2026) despite a lower top-three rate. NordVPN's rank-one rate of 44.1% in August 2026 shows that similar coverage levels can still hide very different first-position rates.
Buyer-Intent Distribution
All qualified observations in both July and August 2026 fell into the brand recommendation class, which captures discovery and consideration behavior.
Buyer-intent class | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Brand Recommendation | 707 | 709 |
Pricing & Value | 0 | 0 |
Multi-Brand Comparison | 0 | 0 |
Total qualified observations | 707 | 709 |
The current public series measures brand recommendation discovery only and does not yet contain qualified observations in the pricing and value or multi-brand comparison classes.
Historical Measurement Record
Measurement | Qualified observations | Coverage leader | Leader coverage | Largest coverage movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jul 2026 | 707 | Proton VPN | 83.9% | Windscribe up 1.7 points |
Aug 2026 | 709 | Proton VPN | 80.7% | Windscribe up 1.7 points |
Evidence and Source Layer
The benchmark is built from prompt-level observations that retain the query, AI/search surface, answer, brand outcome, recommendation placement, sentiment, and, where exposed, citations or attributable evidence sources. Source presence is evidence about the information environment. It is not automatically proof that the source caused the recommendation.
Scope Boundaries
This public benchmark does not measure:
- Market share or attributable sales
- Every possible AI response across all model versions and configurations
- Organic-search ranking or search engine optimization performance
- Social media mention volume or sentiment outside AI surfaces
- Private or sponsored channels, including gated enterprise deployments
- Causality from a metric movement alone; movements indicate correlation, not cause
About This Benchmark
The LLM Authority Index AI Market Discovery Index is a neutral, industry-level benchmark tracking how AI and search surfaces recommend brands across canonical surface families. It is built from prompt-level observations with audited, reproducible methodology.
- AI Market Discovery Methodology
- AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions
- AI Market Discovery Research Standards
- Modeled AI Authority Value
Get a Company-Level Authority Index
The public industry benchmark shows category-level standings. A company-level Authority Index can go deeper.
The public percentage cannot identify the prompts, competitors, or sources causing the result.
Want the full Authority Index
The paid deep-dive adds competitor threat profiles, the gap matrix, citation failure map, platform-by-platform recovery roadmap, and client-specific economic modeling.
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