Surety Bonds: AI Market Discovery Index
Tracking how AI platforms recommend surety bonds. This public AI Market Discovery Index is updated monthly since July 2026.

On this page
- 01Benchmark Summary
- 02Current Benchmark at a Glance
- 03Research Scope and Qualification
- 04Current Brand Standings
- 05How to Read the Standings
- 06Recommendation Coverage Movement
- 07Largest Increase: CNA Surety
- 08Largest Decline: CNA
- 09Category Leader: Travelers
- 10Recommendation Placement Snapshot
- 11Buyer-Intent Distribution
- 12Historical Measurement Record
Benchmark Summary
Travelers led the Surety Bonds benchmark in August 2026 with 61.2% valid recommendation coverage, extending its position as category leader from July 2026's 51.7% coverage. The Hartford followed at 55.3%, a gap of 5.9 points, with Liberty Mutual Surety third at 35.5%.
CNA Surety posted the largest coverage increase this month, rising from 0.0% in July 2026 to 16.4% in August 2026 as the brand replaced CNA in the tracking data. CNA registered the largest coverage decline, falling from 25.1% to 0.0% over the same span; both changes reflect the same tracking transition rather than a market outcome. Liberty Mutual Surety (up 13.0 points, from 22.5% to 35.5%) and JW Surety Bonds (up 4.4 points, from 2.2% to 6.6%) were the other brands whose August movement was large enough to register as a significant riser this month. Travelers gained 9.5 points, from 51.7% to 61.2%, though the increase falls just short of this month's significant-riser classification.
This measurement covers 152 qualified observations in August 2026 against 271 in July 2026, drawn from the same 800 prompt-surface observations collected in each month.
AI recommendation trend
valid recommendation coverage, Jul 2026 to Aug 2026
- Travelers+9.5%Jul 202651.7%Aug 202661.2%
- The Hartford+3.3%Jul 202652.0%Aug 202655.3%
- Liberty Mutual Surety+13.0% · beyond normal variationJul 202622.5%Aug 202635.5%
- SuretyBonds.com+7.7%Jul 202616.6%Aug 202624.3%
- CNA Surety+16.4% · beyond normal variationJul 20260.0%Aug 202616.4%
- Zurich Surety+5.5%Jul 202610.3%Aug 202615.8%
- JW Surety Bonds+4.4% · beyond normal variationJul 20262.2%Aug 20266.6%
- Merchants Bonding Company-0.2%Jul 20264.8%Aug 20264.6%
- Surety1+0.6%Jul 20260.7%Aug 20261.3%
- Old Republic Surety-0.8%Jul 20261.5%Aug 20260.7%
- CNA-25.1% · beyond normal variationJul 202625.1%Aug 20260.0%
Current Benchmark at a Glance
Measure | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|
Qualified benchmark observations | 271 | 152 | Down 119 |
Tracked brands | 10 | 10 | No change |
Qualified surface breadth | 6 | 6 | No change |
Recommendation-shaped answer share | 35.4% | 42.8% | Up 7.4 points |
Valid recommendation shortlist share | 53.5% | 63.2% | Up 9.7 points |
Leader by valid recommendation coverage | Travelers | Travelers | No change |
Qualified surface breadth counts the canonical AI/search surface families with at least one qualified observation. The six families are ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, Perplexity, AI Overviews, and AI Mode.
For the strategic interpretation of this benchmark, read CiteWorks Studio's analysis of How AI Search Is Recommending Surety Bonds
Research Scope and Qualification
The public benchmark is narrower than the raw collection universe by design. Brand-level percentages use the qualified observations as the public denominator, not the raw collection.
Research stage | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 | What it represents |
|---|---|---|---|
Source prompt-surface observations | 800 | 800 | Total prompts collected |
Unique questions | 569 | 616 | Distinct questions asked |
Brand / competitor mentions | 800 | 800 | Prompts mentioning a brand |
Relevant observations | 315 | 188 | On-topic responses |
Irrelevant observations | 485 | 612 | Off-topic responses |
Qualified benchmark observations | 271 | 152 | Public denominator |
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For the full research process, see AI Market Discovery Methodology.
Current Brand Standings
Brand | Presence rate | Valid recommendation coverage | Top-three rate | Rank-one rate | Net sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Travelers | 82.9% | 61.2% | 33.6% | 11.2% | 0.7 |
The Hartford | 73.0% | 55.3% | 28.9% | 12.5% | 0.8 |
Liberty Mutual Surety | 53.3% | 35.5% | 21.1% | 5.9% | 0.7 |
SuretyBonds.com | 40.1% | 24.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 0.6 |
CNA Surety | 30.9% | 16.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.5 |
Zurich Surety | 25.0% | 15.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.6 |
JW Surety Bonds | 12.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 |
Merchants Bonding Company | 14.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3 |
Surety1 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 |
Old Republic Surety | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 |
How to Read the Standings
- Presence rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is mentioned at all.
- Valid recommendation coverage: share of qualified observations where the brand is recommended in a way that qualifies as a valid recommendation.
- Top-three rate: share of qualified observations where the brand appears in the top three recommendations.
- Rank-one rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is the first recommendation.
- Net sentiment: positive mentions minus negative mentions divided by total mentions; ranges from -1 to 1.
For formulas and denominator rules, see AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions.
Recommendation Coverage Movement
Brand | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 | Movement since baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
CNA | 25.1% | 0.0% | Down 25.1 points |
CNA Surety | 0.0% | 16.4% | Up 16.4 points |
JW Surety Bonds | 2.2% | 6.6% | Up 4.4 points |
Liberty Mutual Surety | 22.5% | 35.5% | Up 13.0 points |
Merchants Bonding Company | 4.8% | 4.6% | Down 0.2 points |
Old Republic Surety | 1.5% | 0.7% | Down 0.8 points |
Surety1 | 0.7% | 1.3% | Up 0.6 points |
SuretyBonds.com | 16.6% | 24.3% | Up 7.7 points |
The Hartford | 52.0% | 55.3% | Up 3.3 points |
Travelers | 51.7% | 61.2% | Up 9.5 points |
Zurich Surety | 10.3% | 15.8% | Up 5.5 points |
Largest Increase: CNA Surety
CNA Surety registered 16.4% valid recommendation coverage in August 2026, up from 0.0% in July 2026. This coincided with the tracking shift from CNA to CNA Surety. Presence rate stood at 30.9% in August 2026, while the top-three rate was 2.6% and the rank-one rate was 0.0%.
Largest Decline: CNA
CNA's valid recommendation coverage fell from 25.1% in July 2026 to 0.0% in August 2026. Presence rate declined from 43.2% in July 2026 to not tracked in August 2026, reflecting the brand name transition to CNA Surety in the tracking data. The decline is treated as a brand identity change within the measurement series.
Category Leader: Travelers
Travelers led with 61.2% valid recommendation coverage in August 2026, up from 51.7% in July 2026. Travelers also held the highest presence rate at 82.9% and the highest top-three rate at 33.6% in August 2026.
Want the full Authority Index
The paid deep-dive adds competitor threat profiles, the gap matrix, citation failure map, platform-by-platform recovery roadmap, and client-specific economic modeling.
Recommendation Placement Snapshot
Coverage alone does not show how prominently a brand is recommended. The table below shows the leading brands by valid recommendation coverage.
Brand | Aug 2026 top-three rate | Aug 2026 rank-one rate | Jul 2026 top-three rate | Jul 2026 rank-one rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Travelers | 33.6% | 11.2% | 32.8% | 8.1% |
The Hartford | 28.9% | 12.5% | 34.7% | 19.6% |
Liberty Mutual Surety | 21.1% | 5.9% | 15.5% | 5.2% |
Close coverage can still hide different first-position rates: Travelers and The Hartford are within 5.9 points of each other on coverage, yet The Hartford leads Travelers on rank-one rate at 12.5% versus 11.2% in August 2026.
Buyer-Intent Distribution
All qualified observations in both months fell into the Brand Recommendation class.
Buyer-intent class | Jul 2026 | Aug 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Brand Recommendation | 271 | 152 |
Pricing & Value | 0 | 0 |
Multi-Brand Comparison | 0 | 0 |
Total qualified observations | 271 | 152 |
The current public series measures brand recommendation discovery and does not yet contain qualified observations in the pricing and value or multi-brand comparison classes.
Historical Measurement Record
New measurements are added to the same report.
Measurement | Qualified observations | Coverage leader | Leader coverage | Largest coverage movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jul 2026 | 271 | The Hartford | 52.0% | Travelers up 9.5 points (Aug vs Jul) |
Aug 2026 | 152 | Travelers | 61.2% | CNA Surety up 16.4 points (Aug vs Jul) |
Evidence and Source Layer
The benchmark is built from prompt-level observations that retain the query, AI/search surface, answer, brand outcome, recommendation placement, sentiment, and, where exposed, citations or attributable evidence sources. Source presence is evidence about the information environment. It is not automatically proof that the source caused the recommendation.
Scope Boundaries
This public benchmark does not measure market share, attributable sales, every possible AI response, organic-search ranking, social mention volume, private or sponsored channels, or causality from a metric movement alone.
About This Benchmark
The LLM Authority Index AI Market Discovery Index tracks how AI and search surfaces discover, mention, and recommend brands across industries. Each monthly measurement reflects a qualified set of prompt-level observations across six canonical AI/search surface families. Canonical research links:
- AI Market Discovery Methodology
- AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions
- AI Market Discovery Research Standards
- Modeled AI Authority Value
Get a Company-Level Authority Index
The public industry benchmark shows category-level standings. A company-level Authority Index can go deeper.
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The paid deep-dive adds competitor threat profiles, the gap matrix, citation failure map, platform-by-platform recovery roadmap, and client-specific economic modeling.
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