Surety Bonds: AI Visibility Market Discovery Index
Tracking how AI platforms recommend surety bonds. This public AI Visibility Market Discovery Index is updated monthly since July 2026.

On this page
- 01Benchmark Summary
- 02Current Benchmark at a Glance
- 03Research Scope and Qualification
- 04Current Brand Standings
- 05How to Read the Standings
- 06Recommendation Coverage Movement
- 07Largest Decline: CNA
- 08Category Leader: Travelers
- 09Recommendation Placement Snapshot
- 10Buyer-Intent Distribution
- 11Historical Measurement Record
- 12Evidence and Source Layer
Benchmark Summary
Travelers leads the Surety Bonds benchmark in October 2026 with 55.8% valid recommendation coverage, ahead of The Hartford at 51.7%, a gap of 4.1 points. CNA posted the largest coverage decline this period, moving from 25.1% in July 2026 to 17.2% in October 2026, while Travelers registered the largest coverage increase across the same span, rising from 51.7% to 55.8%. No brand recorded a coverage increase beyond normal month-to-month variation across the full series.
The month-over-month picture is quieter than the series trend. CNA edged up 0.8 points from September 2026 to October 2026, and no brand's October move exceeded normal variation except Merchants Bonding Company, which rose 3.5 points from 1.1% in September 2026 to 4.6% in October 2026, its first upward movement in the series. Across the full July-to-October span, The Hartford and Travelers held the two leading positions, with The Hartford moving from 52.0% to 51.7% and Travelers from 51.7% to 55.8%.
The benchmark began with 800 prompt-surface observations in each month and produced 174 qualified observations in October 2026.
AI recommendation trend
valid recommendation coverage, Jul 2026 to Oct 2026
- Travelers55.8%
- The Hartford51.7%
- Liberty Mutual Surety21.8%
- CNA17.2%
- SuretyBonds.com14.9%
- Zurich Surety13.8%
- JW Surety Bonds5.2%
- Merchants Bonding Company4.6%
- Old Republic Surety0.6%
- CNA Surety0.0%
- Surety10.0%
Current Benchmark at a Glance
Measure | Jul 2026 | Oct 2026 | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|
Qualified benchmark observations | 271 | 174 | Down 97 |
Tracked brands | 10 | 10 | No change |
Qualified surface breadth | 6 | 6 | No change |
Recommendation-shaped answer share | 35.4% | 44.8% | Up 9.4 points |
Valid recommendation shortlist share | 53.5% | 59.2% | Up 5.7 points |
Leader by valid recommendation coverage | Travelers | Travelers | No change |
The August 2026 and September 2026 measurements registered 152 and 189 qualified observations respectively, between the July and October totals. Qualified surface breadth counts the canonical AI/search surface families with at least one qualified observation. The six families are ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, Perplexity, AI Overviews, and AI Mode.
For the strategic interpretation of this benchmark, read CiteWorks Studio's analysis of How AI Search Is Recommending Surety Bonds
Research Scope and Qualification
Questions This Section Answers
- What was measured to produce the public surety bond benchmark?
- Why is the qualified observation count so much smaller than the raw prompt-surfaces collected?
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The public benchmark is narrower than the raw collection universe by design. Brand-level percentages use the qualified observations as the public denominator, not the raw collection.
Research stage | Jul 2026 | Oct 2026 | What it represents |
|---|---|---|---|
Source prompt-surface observations | 800 | 800 | Total prompts collected |
Unique questions | 569 | 588 | Distinct questions asked |
Brand / competitor mentions | 800 | 800 | Prompts mentioning a brand |
Relevant observations | 315 | 219 | On-topic responses |
Irrelevant observations | 485 | 581 | Off-topic responses |
Qualified benchmark observations | 271 | 174 | Public denominator |
For the full research process, see AI Visibility Market Discovery Methodology.
Current Brand Standings
Questions This Section Answers
- Which surety bond brands lead on presence and valid recommendation coverage?
- How do top-three and rank-one rates differ from overall coverage among the leading brands?
Brand | Presence rate | Valid recommendation coverage | Top-three rate | Rank-one rate | Net sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Travelers | 83.9% | 55.8% | 30.5% | 4.0% | 0.7 |
The Hartford | 82.2% | 51.7% | 34.5% | 21.8% | 0.7 |
Liberty Mutual Surety | 33.3% | 21.8% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 0.7 |
CNA | 29.3% | 17.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.6 |
SuretyBonds.com | 24.1% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.7 |
Zurich Surety | 21.3% | 13.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.7 |
JW Surety Bonds | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.8 |
Merchants Bonding Company | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6 |
Old Republic Surety | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 |
Surety1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 |
How to Read the Standings
- Presence rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is mentioned at all.
- Valid recommendation coverage: share of qualified observations where the brand is recommended in a way that qualifies as a valid recommendation.
- Top-three rate: share of qualified observations where the brand appears in the top three recommendations.
- Rank-one rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is the first recommendation.
- Net sentiment: positive mentions minus negative mentions divided by total mentions; ranges from -1 to 1.
For formulas and denominator rules, see AI Visibility Market Discovery Metric Definitions.
Recommendation Coverage Movement
Questions This Section Answers
- Which surety bond brands lost or gained recommendation coverage since July 2026?
- What happened to CNA's recommendation coverage over the series?
Brand | Jul 2026 | Oct 2026 | Movement since baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
CNA | 25.1% | 17.2% | Down 7.9 points |
JW Surety Bonds | 2.2% | 5.2% | Up 3.0 points |
Liberty Mutual Surety | 22.5% | 21.8% | Down 0.7 points |
Merchants Bonding Company | 4.8% | 4.6% | Down 0.2 points |
Old Republic Surety | 1.5% | 0.6% | Down 0.9 points |
Surety1 | 0.7% | 0.0% | Down 0.7 points |
SuretyBonds.com | 16.6% | 14.9% | Down 1.7 points |
The Hartford | 52.0% | 51.7% | Down 0.3 points |
Travelers | 51.7% | 55.8% | Up 4.1 points |
Zurich Surety | 10.3% | 13.8% | Up 3.5 points |
CNA Surety appeared in the August 2026 tracking data with 16.4% valid recommendation coverage but was not present as a separate tracked entity in the July, September, or October 2026 brand sets.
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Largest Decline: CNA
CNA's valid recommendation coverage fell from 25.1% in July 2026 to 17.2% in October 2026, a movement beyond normal variation across the series. Presence rate also declined beyond normal variation over the same span, from 43.2% in July 2026 to 29.3% in October 2026. The series shows CNA's coverage falling to 0.0% in August 2026 before recovering to 16.4% in September and 17.2% in October, a two-month upward streak that is within normal month-to-month variation.
Category Leader: Travelers
Travelers holds the highest valid recommendation coverage at 55.8% in October 2026, up from 51.7% in July 2026, a movement within normal variation and the largest baseline-to-current gain among tracked brands. Travelers also posted the highest presence rate at 83.9% in October 2026. The Hartford leads on rank-one rate at 21.8% against Travelers' 4.0%.
Recommendation Placement Snapshot
Questions This Section Answers
- How do the leading surety bond brands compare on first-position versus top-three placement?
- Where does The Hartford's rank-one rate stand against Travelers' despite Travelers leading on coverage?
Coverage alone does not show how prominently a brand is recommended. The table below shows the leading brands by valid recommendation coverage.
Brand | Oct 2026 top-three rate | Oct 2026 rank-one rate | Jul 2026 top-three rate | Jul 2026 rank-one rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Travelers | 30.5% | 4.0% | 32.8% | 8.1% |
The Hartford | 34.5% | 21.8% | 34.7% | 19.6% |
Liberty Mutual Surety | 13.8% | 5.2% | 15.5% | 5.2% |
Close coverage can still hide very different first-position rates: The Hartford trails Travelers on coverage by 4.1 points in October 2026, yet The Hartford leads on rank-one rate at 21.8% versus 4.0%.
Buyer-Intent Distribution
Questions This Section Answers
- What types of buyer-intent questions are actually represented in this surety bond measurement?
- Are pricing and multi-brand comparison questions captured in the current public series?
All qualified observations in both months fell into the Brand Recommendation class.
Buyer-intent class | Jul 2026 | Oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Brand Recommendation | 271 | 174 |
Pricing & Value | 0 | 0 |
Multi-Brand Comparison | 0 | 0 |
Total qualified observations | 271 | 174 |
The current public series measures brand recommendation discovery and does not yet contain qualified observations in the pricing and value or multi-brand comparison classes.
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The paid deep-dive adds competitor threat profiles, the gap matrix, citation failure map, platform-by-platform recovery roadmap, and client-specific economic modeling.
Historical Measurement Record
New measurements are added to the same report.
Measurement | Qualified observations | Coverage leader | Leader coverage | Largest coverage movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jul 2026 | 271 | The Hartford | 52.0% | CNA Surety up 16.4 points (Aug vs Jul) |
Aug 2026 | 152 | Travelers | 61.2% | Liberty Mutual Surety down 17.5 points (Sep vs Aug) |
Sep 2026 | 189 | Travelers | 46.6% | CNA up 16.4 points (Sep vs Aug) |
Oct 2026 | 174 | Travelers | 55.8% | Merchants Bonding Company up 3.5 points (Oct vs Sep) |
Evidence and Source Layer
The benchmark is built from prompt-level observations that retain the query, AI/search surface, answer, brand outcome, recommendation placement, sentiment, and, where exposed, citations or attributable evidence sources. Source presence is evidence about the information environment. It is not automatically proof that the source caused the recommendation.
Scope Boundaries
This public benchmark does not measure market share, attributable sales, every possible AI response, organic-search ranking, social mention volume, private or sponsored channels, or causality from a metric movement alone.
Top 10 Cited Domains
Questions This Section Answers
- Which domains are cited most often across AI platform answers about surety bonds?
- What kinds of sources dominate the surety bond citations observed in this period?
Across all AI platform responses in this measurement period, 6,969 citations were observed across 1,381 unique domains.
Rank | Domain | Citations | Share | Platforms citing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | google.com | 309 | 4.4% | AI Mode, AI Overviews |
2 | youtube.com | 283 | 4.1% | Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
3 | thehartford.com | 255 | 3.7% | ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
4 | nerdwallet.com | 241 | 3.5% | ChatGPT, Copilot, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
5 | moneygeek.com | 164 | 2.4% | ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
6 | insurance.com | 138 | 2.0% | ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
7 | progressivecommercial.com | 137 | 2.0% | ChatGPT, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
8 | forbes.com | 131 | 1.9% | ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
9 | geico.com | 129 | 1.9% | ChatGPT, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
10 | insureon.com | 122 | 1.8% | ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, AI Mode, AI Overviews, Perplexity |
Citation share is broadly distributed across the top 10, which together account for roughly one quarter of observed citations, with no single domain exceeding 4.4%. The Hartford's own domain, thehartford.com, is the only tracked brand site in the top 10 and the third most-cited domain overall, cited across all six canonical surface families. The remaining sources skew toward financial comparison and insurance review publishers such as nerdwallet.com, moneygeek.com, and insurance.com, alongside general platforms like google.com and youtube.com.
About This Benchmark
The LLM Authority Index AI Visibility Market Discovery Index tracks how AI and search surfaces discover, mention, and recommend brands across industries. Each monthly measurement reflects a qualified set of prompt-level observations across six canonical AI/search surface families. Canonical research links:
- AI Visibility Market Discovery Methodology
- AI Visibility Market Discovery Metric Definitions
- AI Visibility Market Discovery Research Standards
- Modeled AI Visibility Authority Value
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