Mattress Brands: AI Market Discovery Index

Tracking how AI platforms recommend mattress brands. This public AI Market Discovery Index is updated monthly since July 2026.

Mark Huntley, J.D.
By Mark Huntley, J.D.Growth Strategist & AI Discovery Analyst
6 minutes read

Benchmark Summary

Sleepopolis led the benchmark in September 2026 with valid recommendation coverage of 3.0%, down from 4.9% in July 2026. The gap to the next brand was 1.0 percentage point, with Sleep Foundation at 2.0% in September 2026, down from 7.9% in July 2026.

No tracked brand posted a significant month-over-month increase in September 2026. Sleep Foundation recorded the largest coverage decline from the prior month, moving from 2.8% in August 2026 to 2.0% in September 2026, a change within normal month-to-month variation. Mattress Clarity also declined from 2.1% in August 2026 to 1.0% in September 2026.

Across the full series, Mattress Clarity and Sleep Foundation were the two significant decliners. Mattress Clarity fell from 4.6% in July 2026 to 1.0% in September 2026, declining in each of the two months since July. Sleep Foundation fell from 7.9% in July 2026 to 2.0% in September 2026, also declining in each of the two months since July.

The benchmark began with 800 prompt-surface observations in each month and produced 302 qualified observations in September 2026 after qualification.

AI recommendation trend

valid recommendation coverage, Jul 2026 to Sep 2026

0%5%10%15%20%Jul 2026Aug 2026Sep 2026
  • Sleepopolis3.0%
  • Sleep Foundation2.0%
  • Mattress Nerd1.3%
  • Mattress Clarity1.0%
  • Mattress Advisory0.0%
  • Sleep Advisor0.0%

Current Benchmark at a Glance

Measure

Jul 2026

Sep 2026

Movement

Qualified benchmark observations

305

302

Down 3

Tracked brands

6

6

No change

Qualified surface breadth

6

6

No change

Recommendation-shaped answer share

50.8%

45.7%

Down 5.1 points

Valid recommendation shortlist share

73.8%

69.5%

Down 4.3 points

Leader by valid recommendation coverage

Sleep Foundation

Sleepopolis

Changed

August 2026 sat between these two months, with 284 qualified observations and Sleepopolis as coverage leader at 3.5%.

Qualified surface breadth counts the number of canonical AI surface families with at least one qualified observation. The six families measured are ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, Perplexity, AI Overviews, and AI Mode.

For the strategic interpretation of this benchmark, read CiteWorks Studio's analysis of How AI Search Is Recommending Mattress Brands

Research Scope and Qualification

The public benchmark is narrower than the raw collection universe by design.

Research stage

Jul 2026

Sep 2026

What it represents

Source prompt-surface observations

800

800

Total prompts collected across AI surfaces

Unique questions

737

751

Distinct questions after deduplication

Brand / competitor mentions

800

800

Prompts mentioning at least one tracked brand

Relevant observations

646

641

Prompts relevant to the mattress brand vertical

Irrelevant observations

154

159

Prompts outside the vertical scope

Qualified benchmark observations

305

302

Public denominator for brand-level metrics

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Brand-level percentages use the qualified observations as the public denominator, not the raw collection. See the AI Market Discovery Methodology.

Current Brand Standings

Brand

Presence rate

Valid recommendation coverage

Top-three rate

Rank-one rate

Net sentiment

Sleepopolis

52.0%

3.0%

1.0%

0.0%

0.4

Sleep Foundation

86.8%

2.0%

1.3%

0.0%

0.4

Mattress Nerd

44.0%

1.3%

0.0%

0.0%

0.5

Mattress Clarity

62.6%

1.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.4

Sleep Advisor

18.2%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.2

Mattress Advisory

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0

How to Read the Standings

  • Presence rate is the share of qualified observations where the brand is mentioned at all.
  • Valid recommendation coverage is the share of qualified observations where the brand appears in a valid recommendation shortlist.
  • Top-three rate is the share of qualified observations where the brand appears among the top three recommended options.
  • Rank-one rate is the share of qualified observations where the brand is the first recommended option.
  • Net sentiment reflects the balance of positive versus negative mentions, from 0 to 1.

For formulas and denominator rules, see AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions.

Recommendation Coverage Movement

Brand

Jul 2026

Sep 2026

Movement since baseline

Mattress Advisory

0.0%

0.0%

No change

Mattress Clarity

4.6%

1.0%

Down 3.6 points

Mattress Nerd

3.6%

1.3%

Down 2.3 points

Sleep Advisor

0.0%

0.0%

No change

Sleep Foundation

7.9%

2.0%

Down 5.9 points

Sleepopolis

4.9%

3.0%

Down 1.9 points

Largest Decline: Sleep Foundation

Sleep Foundation's valid recommendation coverage fell from 7.9% in July 2026 to 2.8% in August 2026 to 2.0% in September 2026, a cumulative drop of 5.9 percentage points that moved beyond normal month-to-month variation. The brand declined in each of the two months since July 2026. Its presence rate, however, rose from 81.6% in July 2026 to 86.8% in September 2026, and its net sentiment score moved from 0.3 in July 2026 to 0.4 in September 2026, so the brand remained widely present even as its recommendation shortlist share narrowed.

Significant Decliner: Mattress Clarity

Mattress Clarity's valid recommendation coverage fell from 4.6% in July 2026 to 2.1% in August 2026 to 1.0% in September 2026, a cumulative drop of 3.6 percentage points that moved beyond normal month-to-month variation. The brand declined in each of the two months since July 2026. Its top-three rate moved from 2.0% in July 2026 to 0.0% in September 2026, even as presence rate moved from 65.2% to 62.6% over the same period.

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Category Leader: Sleepopolis

Sleepopolis led in valid recommendation coverage in September 2026 at 3.0%, down from 4.9% in July 2026. The lead position shifted from Sleep Foundation in July 2026 to Sleepopolis in August 2026 and held through September 2026. Sleepopolis's presence rate moved from 58.7% in July 2026 to 52.0% in September 2026, and its top-three rate moved from 2.6% to 1.0% over the same period.

Mattress Nerd, Sleep Advisor, Sleepopolis, and Mattress Advisory were classified as stable in September 2026, with movements within normal month-to-month variation. Mattress Advisory held at 0.0% valid recommendation coverage across all three months, with presence dropping from 1.0% in July 2026 to 0.0% in August 2026 and September 2026. Sleep Advisor held at 0.0% in July and September 2026, with a brief 0.7% reading in August 2026.

Recommendation Placement Snapshot

Coverage alone does not show how prominently a brand is recommended. Among the leading brands in September 2026, top-three and rank-one rates diverged from coverage levels.

Brand

Sep 2026 top-three rate

Sep 2026 rank-one rate

Jul 2026 top-three rate

Jul 2026 rank-one rate

Sleepopolis

1.0%

0.0%

2.6%

0.7%

Sleep Foundation

1.3%

0.0%

2.6%

0.0%

Mattress Nerd

0.0%

0.0%

2.9%

2.3%

Sleep Foundation held the highest top-three rate among leaders in September 2026 at 1.3%, while Sleepopolis led in coverage at 3.0% but saw its top-three rate move from 2.6% in July 2026 to 1.0% in September 2026. Mattress Nerd's top-three rate moved from 2.9% in July 2026 to 0.0% in September 2026, and its rank-one rate moved from 2.3% to 0.0% over the same period. Similar coverage levels can still hide different first-position rates.

Buyer-Intent Distribution

All qualified observations in both months fell into the Brand Recommendation class.

Buyer-intent class

Jul 2026

Sep 2026

Brand Recommendation

305

302

Pricing & Value

0

0

Multi-Brand Comparison

0

0

Total qualified observations

305

302

The current public series measures brand-recommendation discovery and does not yet contain qualified observations in the pricing and value or multi-brand comparison classes.

Historical Measurement Record

This is an evergreen benchmark URL. New measurements are added to the same report.

Measurement

Qualified observations

Coverage leader

Leader coverage

Largest coverage movement

Jul 2026

305

Sleep Foundation

7.9%

Sleep Foundation down 5.1 points

Aug 2026

284

Sleepopolis

3.5%

Sleep Foundation down 5.1 points

Sep 2026

302

Sleepopolis

3.0%

Sleep Foundation down 5.9 points

Evidence and Source Layer

The benchmark is built from prompt-level observations that retain the query, AI/search surface, answer, brand outcome, recommendation placement, sentiment, and where exposed, citations or attributable evidence sources. Source presence is evidence about the information environment. It is not automatically proof that the source caused the recommendation.

Scope Boundaries

This public benchmark does not measure:

  • Market share or sales attribution
  • Every possible AI response to a given query
  • Organic-search ranking positions
  • Social media mention volume
  • Private or sponsored channels
  • Causality from a metric movement alone

About This Benchmark

The LLM Authority Index AI Market Discovery Index is a neutral, repeatable measurement of how brands appear and are recommended across major AI and search surfaces. It tracks presence, recommendation coverage, placement, and sentiment as distinct signals.

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