Crypto Exchanges: AI Market Discovery Index
Tracking how AI platforms recommend crypto exchanges. This public AI Market Discovery Index is updated monthly since May 2026.

On this page
- 01Benchmark Summary
- 02Current Benchmark at a Glance
- 03Research Scope and Qualification
- 04Current Brand Standings
- 05How to Read the Standings
- 06Recommendation Coverage Movement
- 07Largest Decline: Kraken
- 08Category Leader: Kraken
- 09Recommendation Placement Snapshot
- 10Buyer-Intent Distribution
- 11Historical Measurement Record
- 12Evidence and Source Layer
Benchmark Summary
Kraken remained the category leader for valid recommendation coverage in August 2026 at 17.6%, with a lead of 2.0 percentage points over Binance at 15.6% — narrower than at any earlier point in the series. July 2026 was the strongest month across the series, with Kraken peaking at 72.4% and Binance at 54.5%.
This was a month of broad decline across every tracked brand. The largest coverage decrease came from Kraken, which fell from 72.4% in July 2026 to 17.6% in August 2026, a drop of 54.8 percentage points. Binance recorded the next largest decline, moving from 54.5% in July 2026 to 15.6% in August 2026, down 38.9 percentage points. No tracked brand recorded an increase in valid recommendation coverage relative to July 2026.
Across the full series, most brands with May 2026 baseline data recorded significant declines by August 2026. Uniswap and Uphold were the only exceptions, both moving modestly higher than their May baselines and classified as stable within normal month-to-month variation, even though both also pulled back from their July peaks. August 2026 began from 800 prompt-surface observations and produced 681 qualified observations after qualification.
AI recommendation trend
valid recommendation coverage, May 2026 to Aug 2026
- Kraken17.6%
- Binance15.6%
- Crypto.com14.0%
- Gemini12.8%
- Uphold6.6%
- Uniswap4.7%
- PayPal0.0%
- Pionex.US0.0%
- Robinhood0.0%
Current Benchmark at a Glance
Measure | May 2026 | August 2026 | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|
Qualified benchmark observations | 1,591 | 681 | Down 910 |
Tracked brands | 10 | 7 | Down 3 |
Qualified surface breadth | 6 | 6 | No change |
Recommendation-shaped answer share | 26.2% | 10.0% | Down 16.2 points |
Valid recommendation shortlist share | 44.8% | 17.6% | Down 27.2 points |
Leader by valid recommendation coverage | Kraken (41.2%) | Kraken (17.6%) | Down 23.6 points |
Qualified surface breadth counts the canonical AI/search surface families with at least one qualified observation: ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, Perplexity, AI Overviews, and AI Mode. All six families were represented in both May 2026 and August 2026. July 2026 also recorded breadth of six.
For the strategic interpretation of this benchmark, read CiteWorks Studio's analysis of How AI Search Is Recommending Crypto Exchanges
Research Scope and Qualification
The public benchmark is narrower than the raw collection universe by design. The funnel below shows how the August 2026 public denominator was reached, alongside the May 2026 baseline for context.
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Research stage | May 2026 | August 2026 | What it represents |
|---|---|---|---|
Source prompt-surface observations | 1,591 | 800 | Total prompts sent to AI surfaces |
Unique questions | 1,591 | 544 | Distinct questions asked |
Brand / competitor mentions | 1,591 | 800 | Prompts mentioning a tracked brand |
Relevant observations | 1,591 | 762 | Prompts relevant to the benchmark |
Irrelevant observations | 0 | 38 | Prompts excluded as irrelevant |
Qualified benchmark observations | 1,591 | 681 | Public denominator after qualification |
Brand-level percentages use the qualified observations as the public denominator, not the raw collection. July 2026, the intervening month in this series, recorded 800 source prompt-surface observations, 498 unique questions, 778 relevant observations, 22 irrelevant observations, and 703 qualified benchmark observations. Link AI Market Discovery Methodology.
Note: the May 2026 measurement predates the current instrument version and used a different platform and company universe than July and August 2026; it is included here for baseline reference.
Current Brand Standings
This table is the primary current-month benchmark view.
Brand | Presence rate | Valid recommendation coverage | Top-three rate | Rank-one rate | Net sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kraken | 27.5% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 0.7 |
Binance | 26.0% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.7 |
Crypto.com | 19.1% | 14.0% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.8 |
Gemini | 20.1% | 12.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.7 |
Uphold | 8.4% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8 |
Uniswap | 8.8% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6 |
Pionex.US | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 |
How to Read the Standings
- Presence rate: share of qualified observations where the brand appears in the AI answer, whether recommended, compared, or merely mentioned.
- Valid recommendation coverage: share of qualified observations where the brand appears in a recommendation shortlist, the benchmark's primary metric.
- Top-three rate: share of qualified observations where the brand appears in the first three recommendation positions.
- Rank-one rate: share of qualified observations where the brand is the single first recommendation.
- Net sentiment: positive mentions minus negative mentions as a share of all sentiment-bearing mentions.
For formulas and denominator rules, see AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions.
Note: PayPal and Robinhood were tracked in May 2026 but recorded no valid recommendation coverage in July or August 2026, so they do not appear in the current standings.
Recommendation Coverage Movement
Brand | May 2026 | August 2026 | Movement since baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
Binance | 29.2% | 15.6% | Down 13.6 points |
Crypto.com | 24.0% | 14.0% | Down 10.0 points |
Gemini | 21.6% | 12.8% | Down 8.8 points |
Kraken | 41.2% | 17.6% | Down 23.6 points |
PayPal | 1.2% | 0.0% | Down 1.2 points |
Pionex.US | 0.7% | 0.0% | Down 0.7 points |
Robinhood | 19.6% | 0.0% | Down 19.6 points |
Uniswap | 3.9% | 4.7% | Up 0.8 points |
Uphold | 5.1% | 6.6% | Up 1.5 points |
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Seven brands recorded significant declines in August 2026 relative to July 2026. Binance fell 38.9 points, Crypto.com fell 42.6 points, and Gemini fell 37.4 points in a single month. Uphold and Uniswap declined from their July peaks of 23.5% and 16.4% but remained within normal month-to-month variation of their May baselines.
Largest Decline: Kraken
Kraken declined in each of the three months of the series, but its largest single-month move came in August 2026, when valid recommendation coverage fell from 72.4% in July 2026 to 17.6% in August 2026, down 54.8 percentage points. Presence rate also fell sharply, moving from 98.4% in July 2026 to 27.5% in August 2026, and the rank-one rate dropped from 21.1% in July 2026 to 3.1% in August 2026.
Category Leader: Kraken
Despite the largest single-month decline in the series, Kraken remained the leader for valid recommendation coverage in August 2026 at 17.6%. The gap to the next brand, Binance, was 2.0 percentage points, narrower than at any baseline point but still the top position. Kraken also held the highest top-three rate at 12.0% in August 2026, down from 53.2% in July 2026.
Recommendation Placement Snapshot
Coverage alone does not show how prominently a brand is recommended. The table below shows top-three and rank-one rates for the leading brands.
Brand | August 2026 top-three rate | August 2026 rank-one rate | May 2026 top-three rate | May 2026 rank-one rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Kraken | 12.0% | 3.1% | 30.9% | 15.0% |
Binance | 7.6% | 2.9% | 17.0% | 5.1% |
Crypto.com | 3.5% | 0.3% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
Kraken and Binance held the top-two positions for both top-three and rank-one placement, with Kraken ahead on both measures in August 2026. Close coverage can still hide very different first-position rates, as seen with Crypto.com, whose 14.0% coverage produced only a 0.3% rank-one rate.
Buyer-Intent Distribution
In August 2026, all qualified observations fell into the discovery and consideration class. The comparison and pricing and cost classes contained no qualified observations, down from May 2026 when those classes held meaningful counts.
Buyer-intent class | May 2026 | August 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Brand Recommendation | 1,069 | 681 |
Pricing & Value | 98 | 0 |
Multi-Brand Comparison | 424 | 0 |
Total qualified observations | 1,591 | 681 |
The current public series cannot answer pricing or comparison questions for August 2026 — it measures only the brand recommendation class of discovery.
Historical Measurement Record
This is an evergreen benchmark URL. New measurements are added to the same report.
Measurement | Qualified observations | Coverage leader | Leader coverage | Largest coverage movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
May 2026 | 1,591 | Kraken | 41.2% | PayPal 1.2% to 0.0% |
July 2026 | 703 | Kraken | 72.4% | Kraken from May baseline up 31.2 points |
August 2026 | 681 | Kraken | 17.6% | Kraken down 54.8 points from July |
Evidence and Source Layer
The benchmark is built from prompt-level observations that retain the query, AI/search surface, answer, brand outcome, recommendation placement, sentiment, and where exposed, citations or attributable evidence sources. Source presence is evidence about the information environment, not automatically proof that the source caused the recommendation.
Scope Boundaries
This public benchmark does not measure market share, attributable sales, every possible AI response, organic-search ranking, social mention volume, private or sponsored channels, or causality from a metric movement alone. A single-month movement should not yet be treated as a trend.
About This Benchmark
The LLM Authority Index AI Market Discovery Index tracks how often brands appear and are recommended across major AI and search surfaces, providing a neutral industry-level view of AI-driven discovery. The index covers six canonical surface families: ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini, Perplexity, AI Overviews, and AI Mode.
- AI Market Discovery Methodology
- AI Market Discovery Metric Definitions
- AI Market Discovery Research Standards
- Modeled AI Authority Value
Get a Company-Level Authority Index
The public industry benchmark shows category-level standings. A company-level Authority Index can go deeper.
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